Identifying the quotient of the major economic sectors of Kerman Province in terms of value added and future forecasting

The growth and development of various areas are considered the major problems of regional economic theories. The analysis of production trend and its structure at different levels of a country requires a strict recognition of talents and the potential balance between sectors and their combination in regions, so that one can make it come true fair policy making and planning for each sectors and country’s region. In this respect, in the present study, using shift-share and locationquotient index, an attempt was made to identify the advantageous and basic sectors of Kerman as well as evaluating the economic performance of the province in the course of 2004 through 2010. The results suggested that most sectors have positive regional share in Kerman and represented a comparative advantage of sectors in the province where water, electricity, natural gases supply, fishing, building sectors involve positive industrial and regional structure (mix). Inasmuch as the effect of shifting all of them is greater than that of a national effect, the province has the most effective facilities and opportunities in order to create value added possibility, which are considered to be the derivers of economic growth in the region. In 2010, agriculture, hunting and forestry, industry, Water, electricity, and natural gas supply, building, public administration and municipal services, and education were counted as the basic (export) activities among fifteen-fold activities in the region.

comparative advantage, shift-share method, location quotient, GDP, Kerman Province