چکیده :

Stochastic models have an important role in modeling and analyzing epidemic diseases for small size population. In this article, we study the generation of stochastic models for epidemic disease susceptible-infective-susceptible model. Here, we use separation of the variables method to solve partial differential equation and the new developed modified probability generating function (PGF) of a random process to include a random catastrophe to solve the ordinary differential equations generated from partial differential equation. The results show that the probability function is too sensitive to μ, β and γ parameters

کلید واژگان :

epidemic disease, stochastic models



ارزش ریالی : 600000 ریال
دریافت مقاله
با پرداخت الکترونیک