Designing a Stochastic Model to Analyze Online Course Delivery in e-Learning

This paper concerns with a stochastic model to control an online course delivery in an e-learning system. Online course delivery is a general issue in e-learning systems. Integrating the activities is difficult due to rapid information flow and electronic devices failures. On the other hand, stochastic behaviour of course delivery activities make the situation worse. Here, we propose a program evaluation and review technique (PERT) to control the course delivery process. Also, for overcoming underestimation of the course delivery process completion time due to alternate paths, we apply Monte Carlo simulation. A numerical illustration shows the applicability of the proposed model.

E-learning; Online course delivery; Program evaluation and review technique (PERT); Monte Carlo simulation